Jumia Technologies Ag Stock Performance

JMIA Stock  USD 13.37  0.41  2.98%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Jumia Technologies holds a performance score of 7. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.58, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Jumia Technologies will likely underperform. Please check Jumia Technologies' total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Jumia Technologies' current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Jumia Technologies AG are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile forward indicators, Jumia Technologies sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.98)
Five Day Return
4.86
Year To Date Return
4.21
Ten Year Return
(47.49)
All Time Return
(47.49)
1
Assessing Jumia Technologies Valuation After Recent Share Price Volatility
11/13/2025
2
Why Jumia Technologies Rallied 16.2 percent in November, Even During a Middling Month For Stocks
12/04/2025
3
Shoppers Swarm Amazon Of Africa Jumia In Black Friday Frenzy
12/10/2025
4
Jumia Is Up 9.0 percent After Black Friday-Fueled 30 percent Order Surge and GMV Acceleration
12/11/2025
5
Jumia Soars as Craig-Hallum Initiates Buy Rating, Igniting Optimism for African E-commerce - Markets Financial Content
12/16/2025
6
Jumia Technologies Stock Price Down 3.5 percent Whats Next
12/24/2025
7
Jumia Technologies Reaches New 52-Week High Should You Buy
01/06/2026
8
Jumia to Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Results on February 10, 2026
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow35.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-10.4 M

Jumia Technologies Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,098  in Jumia Technologies AG on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  239.00  from holding Jumia Technologies AG or generate 21.77% return on investment over 90 days. Jumia Technologies AG is currently generating 0.3954% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.9879% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Jumia, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jumia Technologies is expected to generate 5.38 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Jumia Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Jumia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.37 90 days 13.37 
about 13.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jumia Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.95 (This Jumia Technologies AG probability density function shows the probability of Jumia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.58 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jumia Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Jumia Technologies AG has an alpha of 0.2639, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jumia Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jumia Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jumia Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3513.3717.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.6912.7116.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.1513.1717.19
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.2811.3012.54
Details

Jumia Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jumia Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jumia Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jumia Technologies AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jumia Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Jumia Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jumia Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jumia Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jumia Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 167.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (97.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 90.61 M.
Jumia Technologies AG currently holds about 284.73 M in cash with (57.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85.
Latest headline from accessnewswire.com: Jumia to Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Results on February 10, 2026

Jumia Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jumia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jumia Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jumia Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments133.9 M

Jumia Technologies Fundamentals Growth

Jumia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Jumia Technologies, and Jumia Technologies fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Jumia Stock performance.

About Jumia Technologies Performance

By analyzing Jumia Technologies' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Jumia Technologies' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Jumia Technologies has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Jumia Technologies has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 39.73  53.50 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.46)(0.49)
Return On Capital Employed(0.79)(0.75)
Return On Assets(0.46)(0.49)
Return On Equity(1.03)(1.08)

Things to note about Jumia Technologies performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jumia Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Jumia Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jumia Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 167.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (97.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 90.61 M.
Jumia Technologies AG currently holds about 284.73 M in cash with (57.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85.
Latest headline from accessnewswire.com: Jumia to Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Results on February 10, 2026
Evaluating Jumia Technologies' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Jumia Technologies' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Jumia Technologies' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Jumia Technologies' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Jumia Technologies' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Jumia Technologies' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Jumia Technologies' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Jumia Technologies' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Jumia Technologies' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Jumia Technologies' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Jumia Technologies' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Jumia Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Jumia Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jumia Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Jumia Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jumia Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jumia Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jumia Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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